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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201413206 · Harris, TX · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 3.5/10, tract 48201413206 in the Southgate area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 31% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,487
Renter share76.4%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$74,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Southgate
Moderate
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#550 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#627 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#3,589 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6983, -95.4189 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,773 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 4132063.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 192Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $1,773 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Harris County average of 49.5%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201413206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201413206?

Census tract 48201413206 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201413206?

Median gross rent is $1,773/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201413206?

11.5% of residents in tract 48201413206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201413206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 11th, minority 67th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 48201413206 considered part of Southgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201413206 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201413206 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201413206 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201413206 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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