South Lawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $45,461, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. At $1,251 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Houston commands.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.