Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201221200 · Harris, TX · pop 5,609 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48201221200 covers part of the Melrose Park area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,456
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$46,832
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8646, -95.3740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose Park scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Melrose Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2013)
- 22Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 69% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 131Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose Park
Adults with no health insurance runs 46.9% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $46,832, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.4% against 31.5% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Average gross rent is $1,603, 18% above the Houston average. The filing record is not thin: 137 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201221200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221200?
Census tract 48201221200 in the Melrose Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201221200?
Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221200?
21.1% of residents in tract 48201221200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,609.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 79th, minority 91th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 48201221200 considered part of Melrose Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221200 fall within Melrose Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201221200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201221200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.44% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201221200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201221200 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201221200 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Silverdale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Wayside Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
East Haven
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Pleasantville
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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