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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Ashton Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201452001 · Harris, TX · pop 4,873 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201452001 in the Ashton Village area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,873 residents. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 67% Stable renters 11% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,042
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$37,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Ashton Village
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#246 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7324, -95.6131 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashton Village scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,402 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Ashton Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashton Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4520013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,225Total filings 2020-21
  • 15.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 19.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashton Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashton Village

86% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Harris County average of 49.5%. Set annual rent against average income of $37,188 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,402, close to the Houston average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201452001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201452001?

Census tract 48201452001 in the Ashton Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201452001?

Median gross rent is $1,402/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201452001?

34.6% of residents in tract 48201452001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,873.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201452001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 75th, minority 82th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 48201452001 considered part of Ashton Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201452001 fall within Ashton Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201452001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201452001 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201452001 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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