Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Ashton Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201452002 · Harris, TX · pop 3,282 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
In Ashton Village in Houston, census tract 48201452002 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,494 a month against an average household income of $54,176 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$54,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7314, -95.6024 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashton Village scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Ashton Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 787Total filings 2020-21
- 10.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashton Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashton Village
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.15x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201452002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201452002?
Census tract 48201452002 in the Ashton Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201452002?
Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201452002?
15.8% of residents in tract 48201452002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,282.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201452002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 81th, minority 86th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 48201452002 considered part of Ashton Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201452002 fall within Ashton Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201452002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201452002 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201452002 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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