Ashton Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.1, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 25 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,535, 13% above the Houston average of $1,361.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 0.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.1% in 2015 against a 0.6% peak.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #99 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, High Oaks and Houmont Park score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.