Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Timbergrove Manor Section 3 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201510500 · Harris, TX · pop 4,389 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 48201510500 covers the Timbergrove Manor Section 3 neighborhood of Houston, home to 4,389 residents. For landlords it grades 4.6/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,000 a month against an average household income of $137,431 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,587
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$137,431
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7842, -95.4038 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergrove Manor Section 3 scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,000 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbergrove Manor Section 3 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 77Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2010)
- 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 138Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 3
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 77 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201510500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201510500?
Census tract 48201510500 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 3 neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201510500?
Median gross rent is $2,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201510500?
2.8% of residents in tract 48201510500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,389.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201510500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 3th, minority 44th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 48201510500 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 3?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201510500 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 3 (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201510500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 77 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201510500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.93% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201510500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201510500 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201510500 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201510500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related