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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 3 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201510500 · Harris, TX · pop 4,389 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 48201510500 covers part of the Timbergrove Manor Section 3 area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,389 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 40% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,587
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$137,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 3
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#680 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#948 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7842, -95.4038 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 3 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,000 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 3 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 3 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5105003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 77Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2010)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201510500
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 138Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 3

At $2,000 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Houston commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 16.5% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 77 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $137,431, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201510500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201510500?

Census tract 48201510500 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 3 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201510500?

Median gross rent is $2,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201510500?

2.8% of residents in tract 48201510500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201510500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 3th, minority 44th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 48201510500 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 3?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201510500 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 3 (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201510500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 77 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201510500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.93% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201510500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201510500 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201510500 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201510500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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