Timbergrove Manor Section 3 Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. 29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 8.1/10. Court records for this tract carry 77 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 3.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #241 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Wingspan at Bridgeland and Longwood Village. Against average income of $137,431, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.