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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergorve Manor Section 1 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201511201 · Harris, TX · pop 2,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201511201 in the Timbergorve Manor Section 1 area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,857 residents. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 24% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,421
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$190,216

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Timbergorve Manor Section 1
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#773 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#959 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7961, -95.4162 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergorve Manor Section 1 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergorve Manor Section 1 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergorve Manor Section 1 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5112013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 66Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.10×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergorve Manor Section 1

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,828, 34% above the Houston average.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.1% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $190,216, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201511201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511201?

Census tract 48201511201 in the Timbergorve Manor Section 1 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201511201?

Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511201?

2.7% of residents in tract 48201511201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 1th, minority 43th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 48201511201 considered part of Timbergorve Manor Section 1?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511201 fall within Timbergorve Manor Section 1 (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201511201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201511201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201511201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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