Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Timbergorve Manor Section 1 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201511201 · Harris, TX · pop 2,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is the Timbergorve Manor Section 1 area of Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201511201 scores 4.1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 13th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
15% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,828 a month against an average household income of $190,216 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,421
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$190,216
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7961, -95.4162 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergorve Manor Section 1 scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbergorve Manor Section 1 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.10×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbergorve Manor Section 1
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.10x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201511201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511201?
Census tract 48201511201 in the Timbergorve Manor Section 1 neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201511201?
Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511201?
2.7% of residents in tract 48201511201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 1th, minority 43th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 48201511201 considered part of Timbergorve Manor Section 1?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511201 fall within Timbergorve Manor Section 1 (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201511201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201511201 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201511201 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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