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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 11 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201511202 · Harris, TX · pop 3,399 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 48201511202 sits in Timbergrove Manor Section 11 in Houston eviction risk, Texas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $163,828 a year. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 10% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,710
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$163,828

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 11
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#885 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,013 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#5,298 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8042, -95.4173 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 11 scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 11 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 11 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 511202Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 55Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 11

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.36x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201511202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511202?

Census tract 48201511202 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 11 neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511202?

2.4% of residents in tract 48201511202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,399.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 7th, minority 55th, housing 7th.
Q4

Is tract 48201511202 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 11?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511202 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 11 (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48201511202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48201511202 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201511202 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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