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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Branch East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston

Tract 48201520400 · Harris, TX · pop 3,792 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 48201520400 reflects conditions in the Spring Branch East area of Houston, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #24,980 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,052 monthly, set against $40,969 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 40% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,324
Renter share80.3%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate43.2%
Median income$40,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Spring Branch East
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#87 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#121 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#395 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8069, -95.4770 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Branch East scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Spring Branch East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Branch East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 520400Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 239Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2014)
  • 36Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482015204002009: 19 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2010: 22 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 39 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 50 filings (6.08/100 renter HHs)2014: 55 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2015: 36 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 89% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 615Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.27×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2020-03-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-04-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 9 filings (2.12× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-01-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2022-05-01: 10 filings (6.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 11 filings (1.91× baseline)2022-07-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (4.89× baseline)2022-10-01: 10 filings (6.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 16 filings (2.78× baseline)2023-07-01: 18 filings (4.24× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (3.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (3.11× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (7.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 20 filings (4.71× baseline)2023-12-01: 14 filings (3.11× baseline)2024-01-01: 15 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-02-01: 20 filings (3.48× baseline)2024-03-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2024-04-01: 10 filings (5.71× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 25 filings (4.35× baseline)2024-07-01: 21 filings (4.94× baseline)2024-08-01: 18 filings (5.14× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (4.44× baseline)2024-10-01: 23 filings (15.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2024-12-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2025-01-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (2.09× baseline)2025-03-01: 21 filings (4.94× baseline)2025-04-01: 10 filings (5.71× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2025-07-01: 11 filings (2.59× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (4.44× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2026-01-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Branch East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Branch East

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201520400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201520400?

Census tract 48201520400 in the Spring Branch East neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201520400?

Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201520400?

43.2% of residents in tract 48201520400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,792.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201520400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 89th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 48201520400 considered part of Spring Branch East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201520400 fall within Spring Branch East (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201520400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 239 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201520400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.31% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201520400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201520400 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201520400 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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