Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201521402 · Harris, TX · pop 3,523 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 48201521402 covers part of the Spring Branch area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,523. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,025
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$51,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8245, -95.5035 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Branch scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,198 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Spring Branch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 298Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spring Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Branch
Adults with no health insurance runs 50.1% against 11.3% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.1% against 31.5% nationally. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Harris County average of 49.5%.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. At $1,198 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Houston commands.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201521402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201521402?
Census tract 48201521402 in the Spring Branch neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201521402?
Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201521402?
38.3% of residents in tract 48201521402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,523.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201521402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 74th, minority 94th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 48201521402 considered part of Spring Branch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201521402 fall within Spring Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201521402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201521402 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201521402 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Briar Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
McKendree Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Southbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Cypress Forest Lakes
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201220702
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Central Southwest Houston
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Little Saigon
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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