Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201321001 · Harris, TX · pop 3,039 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201321001 in the Gulf Palms area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,039. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.8% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$42,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6322, -95.2289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Palms scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Gulf Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,194Total filings 2020-21
- 15.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,064 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Houston commands. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $42,107. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201321001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321001?
Census tract 48201321001 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201321001?
Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321001?
37.5% of residents in tract 48201321001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 78th, minority 94th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 48201321001 considered part of Gulf Palms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321001 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201321001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201321001 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201321001 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Airline
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Sunnyside
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201431205
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Inwood Northwest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Windfern Trace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Kashmere Gardens
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Foster Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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