Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Shepherd Park Plaza Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201530600 · Harris, TX · pop 2,812 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 48201530600 sits in the Shepherd Park Plaza area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 2,812 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share45.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$68,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8313, -95.4052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shepherd Park Plaza scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Shepherd Park Plaza compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 334Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2014)
- 43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 307Total filings 2020-21
- 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shepherd Park Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shepherd Park Plaza
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Harris County average of 49.5%.
Adults with no health insurance runs 25.4% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,133, 17% below the Houston average.
It sits 0.9 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 334 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 13.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201530600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201530600?
Census tract 48201530600 in the Shepherd Park Plaza neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201530600?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201530600?
24.5% of residents in tract 48201530600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,812.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201530600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 71th, minority 85th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 48201530600 considered part of Shepherd Park Plaza?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201530600 fall within Shepherd Park Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201530600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 334 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201530600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.06% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201530600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201530600 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201530600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hobby
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201221502
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Yorkwood
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201222702
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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