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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shepherd Park Plaza Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201531000 · Harris, TX · pop 4,672 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201531000 in the Shepherd Park Plaza area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,672. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 8% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$160,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Shepherd Park Plaza
Very Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#666 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#977 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8252, -95.4200 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shepherd Park Plaza scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,898 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Shepherd Park Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shepherd Park Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5310003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2010)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201531000
Filings dropped 36% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 63Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shepherd Park Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shepherd Park Plaza

Cost burden runs 65% here against 49.5% across Harris County. At $1,898 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Houston commands.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.

The filing record is not thin: 49 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $160,625, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201531000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201531000?

Census tract 48201531000 in the Shepherd Park Plaza neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201531000?

Median gross rent is $1,898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201531000?

4.9% of residents in tract 48201531000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,672.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201531000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 17th, minority 54th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 48201531000 considered part of Shepherd Park Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201531000 fall within Shepherd Park Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201531000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201531000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.12% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201531000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201531000 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201531000 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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