Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201534003 · Harris, TX · pop 2,421 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 48201534003 covers part of the Blue Creek Ranch area of Houston, TX, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,421. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units666
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$83,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9302, -95.5124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Creek Ranch scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$900 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Blue Creek Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2010)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blue Creek Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Creek Ranch
66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Harris County average of 49.5%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $900 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Houston commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 132 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 13.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
Against average income of $83,438, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201534003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201534003?
Census tract 48201534003 in the Blue Creek Ranch neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201534003?
Median gross rent is $900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201534003?
16.5% of residents in tract 48201534003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,421.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201534003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 71th, minority 88th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 48201534003 considered part of Blue Creek Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201534003 fall within Blue Creek Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201534003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201534003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.36% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201534003 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201534003 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201534003 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Lamar Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Parkglen West
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch East
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Shadydale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
South Lawn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Meyerland
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Yaupon Grove
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Related