Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201551300 · Harris, TX · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Lower-tier score of 3.7/10 for census tract 48201551300 reflects conditions in the Blue Creek Ranch area of Houston, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #78,194 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $138,200 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,122
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$138,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9503, -95.5080 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Creek Ranch scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Blue Creek Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 155Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2014)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 133Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blue Creek Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Creek Ranch
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.03x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is Asian and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201551300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551300?
Census tract 48201551300 in the Blue Creek Ranch neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551300?
2.9% of residents in tract 48201551300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 79th, minority 88th, housing 47th.
Q4
Is tract 48201551300 considered part of Blue Creek Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551300 fall within Blue Creek Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201551300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201551300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.20% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201551300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201551300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201551300 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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