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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Blue Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201551300 · Harris, TX · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201551300 in the Blue Creek Ranch area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,945. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,122
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$138,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Blue Creek Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#849 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#1,038 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9503, -95.5080 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blue Creek Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Blue Creek Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blue Creek Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5513003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 155Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2014)
  • 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201551300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 133Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blue Creek Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blue Creek Ranch

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.

Court records carry 155 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201551300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551300?

Census tract 48201551300 in the Blue Creek Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551300?

2.9% of residents in tract 48201551300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 79th, minority 88th, housing 47th.
Q4

Is tract 48201551300 considered part of Blue Creek Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551300 fall within Blue Creek Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201551300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201551300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.20% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201551300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201551300 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201551300 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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