Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Blue Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 10,756 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–3.7

Blue Creek Ranch takes in 3 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 10,756 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. 19% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly below the Houston rate of 32.1%.

Average gross rent is $868, 36% below the Houston average of $1,361. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.2/10.

Court records carry 287 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. 10% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 3/10. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 16.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 6.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #219 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Canterbury Forest and Timbergrove Green score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 9% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Blue Creek Ranch vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

19.3% -40%

Houston: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$868 -36%

Houston: $1,361

Average HH income

$111,520 +77%

Houston: $62,894

Poverty rate

11.4% -42%

Houston: 19.7%

Renter share

13.2% -77%

Houston: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Creek Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Blue Creek Ranch scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 1.5–5.5 across tracts

3.9

Rent control risk

19% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts

1.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts

4.1

Tenant organizing strength

13% renter households · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts

3.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–5.0 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

11.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts

3.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.7 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Blue Creek Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Blue Creek Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.7 3.1 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Blue Creek Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48201534003	3.7	2,421	66%	$900
48201534102	3.1	4,390	11%	$1,630
48201551300	3	3,945	0%	,

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 70%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 52%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blue Creek Ranch

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

287Total filings (sum)
12.74%Avg annual filing rate
16.1%Peak year (2014)
6.77%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

258Total filings 2020-21
1.2Avg monthly observed
1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.71×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Blue Creek Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Creek Ranch?

Blue Creek Ranch scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Blue Creek Ranch compare to Houston overall?

Blue Creek Ranch scores 0.5 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 19% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $868 vs $1,361.

What is the average rent in Blue Creek Ranch?

Average gross rent in Blue Creek Ranch is $868/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Blue Creek Ranch residents are renters?

13% of Blue Creek Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 10,756 residents.

Is Blue Creek Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Creek Ranch sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Blue Creek Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blue Creek Ranch is census tract 48201534003 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Blue Creek Ranch for landlords?

Blue Creek Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Creek Ranch?

Blue Creek Ranch has 10,825 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (59.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Creek Ranch

4.2 Lincoln Green South 5 tracts · pop 24,362 3.3 Northwest Park Place 2 tracts · pop 7,840 4.4 Inwood Northwest 3 tracts · pop 16,633 3.7 Greenwood Forest 4 tracts · pop 16,443 4 Forestwood 2 tracts · pop 13,251 3 Winchester Country 2 tracts · pop 14,193

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blue Creek Ranch.

3.2 Meisterwood 1 tracts · pop 3,617 3.2 Silver Oak Trails 1 tracts · pop 4,937 3.2 Somerset Green 1 tracts · pop 3,214 3.2 Northwest Park Place 2 tracts · pop 7,840 3.2 Copperfield Southpoint 2 tracts · pop 8,600 3.2 Canterbury Forest 1 tracts · pop 3,181

Zoom out