Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Orchards at Shary Road Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mission

Tract 48215020305 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,104 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 48215020305 runs through Orchards at Shary Road in Mission. With 3,104 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $940 a month while the average household earns $51,415 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 9% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,342

Renter share28.5%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$51,415

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission and the region

Centroid at 26.2215, -98.2853 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchards at Shary Road scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$940 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mission

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mission

6.1

How Orchards at Shary Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchards at Shary Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchards at Shary Road

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mission eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020305?

Census tract 48215020305 in the Orchards at Shary Road neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48215020305?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020305?

6.7% of residents in tract 48215020305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,104.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 27th, minority 86th, housing 62th.

Is tract 48215020305 considered part of Orchards at Shary Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020305 fall within Orchards at Shary Road (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48215020305 compare to Mission overall?

Tract 48215020305 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mission at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission

Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.