Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Orchards at Shary Road Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,656 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 2.8–4.6

Orchards at Shary Road is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Mission with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,656 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $438/month sits 54% lower than the Mission citywide average ($950).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Orchards at Shary Road vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.1% +107%

Mission: 27.6%

Average gross rent

$438 -54%

Mission: $950

Average HH income

$98,224 +62%

Mission: $60,813

Poverty rate

4.4% -75%

Mission: 17.7%

Renter share

18.1% -37%

Mission: 28.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchards at Shary Road and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.8–4.6

Why Orchards at Shary Road scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

18% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.0 across tracts

4.8

Risk score comparison

Orchards at Shary Road vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Orchards at Shary Road

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48215020305	4.6	3,104	68%	$940
48215020303	2.8	3,552	48%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 23%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 33%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Orchards at Shary Road

What is the eviction-risk score for Orchards at Shary Road?

Orchards at Shary Road scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Orchards at Shary Road compare to Mission overall?

Orchards at Shary Road scores 0.9 points higher than Mission overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $438 vs $950.

What is the average rent in Orchards at Shary Road?

Average gross rent in Orchards at Shary Road is $438/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Orchards at Shary Road residents are renters?

18% of Orchards at Shary Road households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 6,656 residents.

Is Orchards at Shary Road a high social-vulnerability area?

Orchards at Shary Road sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Orchards at Shary Road have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orchards at Shary Road is census tract 48215020305 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.8 to 4.6, a spread of 1.8 points.

How safe is Orchards at Shary Road for landlords?

Orchards at Shary Road carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Orchards at Shary Road?

Orchards at Shary Road has 7,034 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (82.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (1.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orchards at Shary Road

6.1 Hidden Coves 3 tracts · pop 10,435 6 Fairview 3 tracts · pop 15,135 6.3 College Heights 9 tracts · pop 19,099 5.1 Del Sol 6 tracts · pop 18,318 5.8 Colonia Allende 2 tracts · pop 10,544 5.1 Sharyland Plantation 2 tracts · pop 10,839

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orchards at Shary Road.

4.3 Shary Forest 1 tracts · pop 4,114 4.6 Montecruz 1 tracts · pop 5,468 5.5 Basham Number 10 Colonia 1 tracts · pop 4,068 5.9 Ariel Hinojosa Colonia 1 tracts · pop 4,248 6 Fairview 3 tracts · pop 15,135 6.4 Randolph Barnett Number 1 Colonia 1 tracts · pop 6,752

Zoom out