Skip to content
Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Orchards at Shary Road Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,656 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Orchards at Shary Road takes in 2 census tracts of Mission, TX, population 6,656. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Mission rate of 27.6%.

Average gross rent is $438, 54% below the Mission average of $950. 35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Mission. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Montecruz and Shary Forest.

Rent takes 5% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orchards at Shary Road vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.1% +107%
Mission: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$438 -54%
Mission: $950
Average HH income
$98,224 +62%
Mission: $60,813
Poverty rate
4.4% -75%
Mission: 17.7%
Renter share
18.1% -37%
Mission: 28.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchards at Shary Road and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Orchards at Shary Road scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.0 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

Orchards at Shary Road vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orchards at Shary Road score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Orchards at Shary Neighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orchards at Shary Road

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215020303 3 3,552 48% ,
48215020305 3 3,104 68% $940
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Orchards at Shary Road

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orchards at Shary Road?

Orchards at Shary Road scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orchards at Shary Road compare to Mission overall?

Orchards at Shary Road scores 0.7 points lower than Mission overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $438 vs $950.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orchards at Shary Road?

Average gross rent in Orchards at Shary Road is $438/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orchards at Shary Road residents are renters?

18% of Orchards at Shary Road households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 6,656 residents.
Q5

Is Orchards at Shary Road a high social-vulnerability area?

Orchards at Shary Road sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orchards at Shary Road have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orchards at Shary Road is census tract 48215020303 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Orchards at Shary Road for landlords?

Orchards at Shary Road carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orchards at Shary Road?

Orchards at Shary Road has 7,034 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (82.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (1.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orchards at Shary Road

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orchards at Shary Road.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further