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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Nuevo Santander Eviction Risk: Lower , McAllen

Tract 48215020906 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 2,919 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 48215020906 sits in the Nuevo Santander area of McAllen eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,919 residents. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 37% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share45.4%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$125,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Nuevo Santander
Low
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Moderate
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.2478, -98.2163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nuevo Santander scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,379 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How Nuevo Santander compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nuevo Santander risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0209063.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nuevo Santander. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nuevo Santander

The voucher gap is 39.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. At $1,379 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of McAllen commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Against the Hidalgo County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $125,083, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020906?

Census tract 48215020906 in the Nuevo Santander neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020906?

Median gross rent is $1,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020906?

5.1% of residents in tract 48215020906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,919.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 12th, minority 85th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020906 considered part of Nuevo Santander?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020906 fall within Nuevo Santander (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020906 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020906 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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