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Neighborhood · McAllen, TX

Nuevo Santander Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 13,378 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.4

Nuevo Santander takes in 4 census tracts of McAllen, TX and houses 13,378 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 20.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Against a McAllen baseline of 30.5%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. At $1,197 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of McAllen commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.1/10. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of McAllen, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Del Sol and The Embers. Against average income of $101,322, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Nuevo Santander vs McAllen How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.3% +22%
McAllen: 30.5%
Average gross rent
$1,197 +14%
McAllen: $1,049
Average HH income
$101,322 +68%
McAllen: $60,165
Poverty rate
11.1% -45%
McAllen: 20.2%
Renter share
41.8% +3%
McAllen: 40.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nuevo Santander and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Nuevo Santander scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 1.3–5.3 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–8.9 across tracts
7.1
Risk score comparison

Nuevo Santander vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Nuevo Santander score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Nuevo SantanderNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Nuevo Santander?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 3 to 3.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Nuevo Santander

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215020808 3.4 2,775 62% $1,076
48215023535 3 3,873 30% $1,160
48215020905 3 3,811 41% $1,184
48215020906 3 2,919 20% $1,379
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Nuevo Santander

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Nuevo Santander?

Nuevo Santander scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Nuevo Santander compare to McAllen overall?

Nuevo Santander scores 0.3 points lower than McAllen overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,197 vs $1,049.
Q3

What is the average rent in Nuevo Santander?

Average gross rent in Nuevo Santander is $1,197/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Nuevo Santander residents are renters?

42% of Nuevo Santander households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in McAllen). The neighborhood has 13,378 residents.
Q5

Is Nuevo Santander a high social-vulnerability area?

Nuevo Santander sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Nuevo Santander have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Nuevo Santander is census tract 48215020808 (score 3.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Nuevo Santander for landlords?

Nuevo Santander carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to McAllen as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Nuevo Santander?

Nuevo Santander has 12,971 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (76.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Nuevo Santander

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside McAllen

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Nuevo Santander.

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