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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

McAllen Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48215021001 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 1,809 · 94% of tract blocks fall in McAllen

Tract 48215021001 sits in McAllen eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 1,809 residents. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 25% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units503
Renter share73.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate74.6%
Median income$15,638

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#39 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.2094, -98.2108 · click any tract to drill in

Why McAllen scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
74.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$728 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How McAllen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McAllen risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0210013.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McAllen

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. Annualized rent equals 56% of average household income of $15,638, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.7% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 75%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 50.9% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $728, 31% below the McAllen average.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 0.8 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215021001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215021001?

Census tract 48215021001 in McAllen scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215021001?

Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215021001?

74.6% of residents in tract 48215021001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,809.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215021001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 98th, minority 98th, housing 95th.
Q5

How does tract 48215021001 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215021001 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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