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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , McAllen

Tract 48215020730 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 2,731 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 48215020730 sits in the College Heights area of McAllen eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 28% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units954
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$26,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In College Heights
High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#38 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.2121, -98.2487 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Heights scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$755 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How College Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0207303.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Heights

Adults with no health insurance runs 43.3% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County.

The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.7/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $26,778, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 47.5% against 31.5% nationally.

At $755 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of McAllen commands. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against the Hidalgo County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020730

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020730?

Census tract 48215020730 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020730?

Median gross rent is $755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020730?

35.0% of residents in tract 48215020730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,731.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020730?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 100th, minority 99th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020730 considered part of College Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020730 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020730 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020730 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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