Hills at Chapin Eviction Risk: Lower , Edinburg

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,258 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Edinburg commands. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. It sits 0.7 points below the Hidalgo County average of 3.9.

That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $72,753.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.