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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Hills at Chapin Eviction Risk: Moderate , Edinburg

Tract 48215023601 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,346 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48215023601 in the Hills at Chapin area of Edinburg, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,346. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate42.7%
Median income$33,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hills at Chapin
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 21 tracts In Edinburg
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Edinburg and the region

Centroid at 26.3067, -98.1526 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hills at Chapin scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Edinburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edinburg
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edinburg
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edinburg
3.0

How Hills at Chapin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hills at Chapin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0236013.4Edinburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hills at Chapin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hills at Chapin

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 39.1% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. Disability prevalence runs 45.2% against 31.5% nationally. At $863 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Edinburg commands.

Against the Hidalgo County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $33,571. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215023601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215023601?

Census tract 48215023601 in the Hills at Chapin neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215023601?

Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215023601?

42.7% of residents in tract 48215023601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,346.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215023601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 94th, minority 96th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 48215023601 considered part of Hills at Chapin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215023601 fall within Hills at Chapin (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215023601 compare to Edinburg overall?

Tract 48215023601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Edinburg at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edinburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Edinburg

Top eight tracts in Edinburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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