2 census tracts · pop 9,184 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3.2–4.6
Hills at Chapin is a 2-tract neighborhood of Edinburg, TX, population 9,184. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 41% against 28.6% citywide, putting Hills at Chapin 12.7% over its own city.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.2 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Running hot is economic stress at 7.8/10.
The voucher gap is 12.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $1,114 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Edinburg commands.
Running cool is housing-court posture, at 3/10. That places it #7 of 15 neighborhoods in Edinburg.
For a like-for-like read, Urbana Vista and Tanglewood Terrace score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hills at Chapin vs EdinburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Hills at Chapin
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Hills at Chapin?
Hills at Chapin scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Hills at Chapin compare to Edinburg overall?
Hills at Chapin scores 0.3 points higher than Edinburg overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,114 vs $996.
Q3
What is the average rent in Hills at Chapin?
Average gross rent in Hills at Chapin is $1,114/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Hills at Chapin residents are renters?
41% of Hills at Chapin households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Edinburg). The neighborhood has 9,184 residents.
Q5
Is Hills at Chapin a high social-vulnerability area?
Hills at Chapin sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Hills at Chapin have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Hills at Chapin is census tract 48215023601 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.6, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Hills at Chapin for landlords?
Hills at Chapin carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Edinburg as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Hills at Chapin?
Hills at Chapin has 9,745 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (92%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
