Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Edinburg
Tract 48215023804 ·
Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,110 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
48215023804 is a census tract in the Bella Vista area of Edinburg, TX. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,110 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 34.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 22%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,062
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$31,650
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bella Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
60th percentile
#9 of 21 tracts In Edinburg
Elevated
Within county
55th percentile
#96 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
63th percentile
#2,577 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Edinburg and the region
Centroid at 26.2681, -98.1682 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Vista scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Edinburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$707 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edinburg
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edinburg
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edinburg
3.0
How Bella Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
98%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Vista
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $707 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Edinburg commands.
51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hidalgo County average of 3.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $31,650. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48215023804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215023804?
Census tract 48215023804 in the Bella Vista neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48215023804?
Median gross rent is $707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48215023804?
24.6% of residents in tract 48215023804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,110.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48215023804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 81th, minority 96th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 48215023804 considered part of Bella Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215023804 fall within Bella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48215023804 compare to Edinburg overall?
Tract 48215023804 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Edinburg at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edinburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Edinburg
Top eight tracts in Edinburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.