Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Alvarado Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48251130415 · Johnson, TX · pop 3,962 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Alvarado
Eviction risk in Alvarado centers on tract 48251130415, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,962 residents. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,082 a month while the average household earns $69,048 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$69,048
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvarado and the region
Centroid at 32.4183, -97.2652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alvarado scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvarado
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,082 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvarado
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvarado
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvarado
6.8
How Alvarado compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alvarado
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alvarado, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Johnson County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48251130415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130415?
Census tract 48251130415 in Alvarado scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48251130415?
Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130415?
16.2% of residents in tract 48251130415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,962.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 99th, minority 60th, housing 68th.
Q5
How does tract 48251130415 compare to Alvarado overall?
Tract 48251130415 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alvarado at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvarado; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvarado
Top eight tracts in Alvarado ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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