Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Alvarado Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48251130415 · Johnson, TX · pop 3,962 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Alvarado
Census tract 48251130415 covers part of Alvarado, TX, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,962 residents. Against Johnson County at 44.3%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$69,048
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvarado and the region
Centroid at 32.4183, -97.2652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alvarado scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvarado
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,082 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvarado
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvarado
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvarado
6.8
How Alvarado compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alvarado
At $1,082 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Alvarado commands. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Johnson County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $69,048. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48251130415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130415?
Census tract 48251130415 in Alvarado scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48251130415?
Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130415?
16.2% of residents in tract 48251130415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,962.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 99th, minority 60th, housing 68th.
Q5
How does tract 48251130415 compare to Alvarado overall?
Tract 48251130415 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Alvarado at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvarado; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvarado
Top eight tracts in Alvarado ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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