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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

South Overton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lubbock

Tract 48303001502 · Lubbock, TX · pop 2,754 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 48303001502 sits in the South Overton area of Lubbock eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 2,754. 61% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 20% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,269
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate34.7%
Median income$51,472

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In South Overton
Low
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
Very High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5669, -101.8791 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Overton scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.7% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,536 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0

How South Overton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Overton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0015023.2Lubbockparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Overton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Overton

Against Lubbock County at 45.8%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $51,472 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.7/10. The voucher gap is 28.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,536, 30% above the Lubbock average.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Lubbock County average of 3.6.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303001502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303001502?

Census tract 48303001502 in the South Overton neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48303001502?

Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303001502?

34.7% of residents in tract 48303001502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,754.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303001502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 49th, minority 56th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 48303001502 considered part of South Overton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303001502 fall within South Overton (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48303001502 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303001502 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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