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Neighborhood · Lubbock, TX

South Overton Eviction Risk: Moderate

10 census tracts · pop 25,223 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3–4.6

South Overton takes in 10 census tracts of Lubbock, TX and houses 25,223 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 33.1% citywide, putting South Overton 12.1% over its own city.

Set annual rent against average household income of $23,527 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $825, 30% below the Lubbock average of $1,182.

The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. That places it #4 of 11 neighborhoods in Lubbock. The closest comparables inside the same city are North By Northwest and Elm Park.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
10 tracts · population-weighted
South Overton vs Lubbock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.2% +37%
Lubbock: 33.1%
Average gross rent
$825 -30%
Lubbock: $1,182
Average HH income
$23,527 -61%
Lubbock: $60,487
Poverty rate
31.2% +64%
Lubbock: 19.0%
Renter share
61.4% +26%
Lubbock: 48.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Overton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 3–4.6

Why South Overton scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
31.2% below poverty line · Range 3.0–10.0 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–7.9 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

South Overton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Overton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2South OvertonNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Overton?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

10 tracts in South Overton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48303000603 4.6 4,252 56% $1,143
48303000301 4.6 3,605 52% $988
48303001502 4.6 2,754 70% $1,536
48303001501 4.6 2,288 59% $1,046
48303001401 4.6 2,150 52% $1,004
48303000607 4.6 2,049 66% $742
48303000202 4.6 1,434 45% $791
48303000605 4.6 825 86% $1,157
48303000502 3 4,157 , ,
48303000503 3 1,709 , ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About South Overton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Overton?

South Overton scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Overton compare to Lubbock overall?

South Overton scores 1.0 points higher than Lubbock overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $825 vs $1,182.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Overton?

Average gross rent in South Overton is $825/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Overton residents are renters?

61% of South Overton households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lubbock). The neighborhood has 25,223 residents.
Q5

Is South Overton a high social-vulnerability area?

South Overton sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Overton have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Overton is census tract 48303000603 (score 4.6/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is South Overton for landlords?

South Overton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lubbock as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Overton?

South Overton has 23,863 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Overton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lubbock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Overton.

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