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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Lubbock

Tract 48303001710 · Lubbock, TX · pop 3,114 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 48303001710 sits in the Elm Park area of Lubbock eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 3,114. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 40% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,717
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$46,069

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elm Park
Very Low
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#42 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#3,048 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5593, -101.9386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Park scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0

How Elm Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0017103.2Lubbockparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Park

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. At $996 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Lubbock commands.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. It tracks the Lubbock County average of 3.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $46,069.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303001710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303001710?

Census tract 48303001710 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48303001710?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303001710?

15.2% of residents in tract 48303001710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,114.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303001710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 1th, minority 56th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 48303001710 considered part of Elm Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303001710 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48303001710 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303001710 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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