Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lubbock

Tract 48303001714 · Lubbock, TX · pop 6,264 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48303001714 in the Elm Park area of Lubbock, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 36% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units3,328

Renter share79.7%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate31.8%

Median income$37,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5691, -101.9608 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lubbock

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.4

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

31.8% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$1,175 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lubbock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lubbock

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lubbock

2.0

How Elm Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Park

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $37,750 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Lubbock County average of 45.8%. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Lubbock County average of 3.6. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,175, close to the Lubbock average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303001714

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303001714?

Census tract 48303001714 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48303001714?

Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303001714?

31.8% of residents in tract 48303001714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,264.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303001714?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 2th, minority 65th, housing 72th.

Is tract 48303001714 considered part of Elm Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303001714 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48303001714 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303001714 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.