2 census tracts · pop 9,378 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 3.8–4.6
Elm Park takes in 2 census tracts of Lubbock, TX and houses 9,378 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Lubbock rate of 33.1%.
The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. That places it #3 of 11 neighborhoods in Lubbock.
For a like-for-like read, Slaton-Bean and South Overton score within a fraction of it. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $1,116, close to the Lubbock average.
With little internal variation, 4.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Elm Park vs LubbockHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Elm Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elm Park?
Elm Park scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elm Park compare to Lubbock overall?
Elm Park scores 1.1 points higher than Lubbock overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,116 vs $1,182.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elm Park?
Average gross rent in Elm Park is $1,116/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elm Park residents are renters?
78% of Elm Park households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lubbock). The neighborhood has 9,378 residents.
Q5
Is Elm Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Elm Park sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elm Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elm Park is census tract 48303001714 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.6, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Elm Park for landlords?
Elm Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lubbock as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elm Park?
Elm Park has 9,278 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.6%), Hispanic / Latino (36.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
