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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Southwind Eviction Risk: Lower , Arlington

Tract 48439111315 · Tarrant, TX · pop 4,221 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Southwind area of Arlington anchors census tract 48439111315, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 79% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,685 a month against an average household income of $104,167 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 3% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,216
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$104,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Southwind
Very High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 86 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#3,702 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 32.5992, -97.0860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwind scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$2,685 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
2.5

How Southwind compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southwind risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 111315Arlington: 2.62.6Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 346Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 25 filings (16.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 13 filings (8.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 15 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 19 filings (12.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 15 filings (7.50× baseline)2023-10-01: 20 filings (5.71× baseline)2023-11-01: 21 filings (14.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 16 filings (6.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 30 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 12 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (18.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (8.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwind. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwind

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439111315

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111315?

Census tract 48439111315 in the Southwind neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439111315?

Median gross rent is $2,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111315?

17.1% of residents in tract 48439111315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,221.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 48th, minority 72th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 48439111315 considered part of Southwind?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111315 fall within Southwind (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439111315 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439111315 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 48439111315 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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