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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

East Cesar Chavez Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453001000 · Travis, TX · pop 3,291 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 48453001000 in the East Cesar Chavez area of Austin, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 21% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,461
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$119,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Cesar Chavez
Moderate
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#141 of 239 tracts In Austin
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#152 of 290 tracts In Travis
Moderate
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#3,222 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2528, -97.7258 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Cesar Chavez scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,896 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How East Cesar Chavez compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Cesar Chavez risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0010004.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 209Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 2.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2003)
  • 9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453001000
Filings dropped 25% over the past 12 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Cesar Chavez

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,896, 67% above the Austin average. The voucher gap is 48.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Court records carry 209 eviction filings across 12 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001000?

Census tract 48453001000 in the East Cesar Chavez neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001000?

Median gross rent is $2,896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001000?

13.1% of residents in tract 48453001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,291.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 25th, minority 59th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001000 considered part of East Cesar Chavez?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001000 fall within East Cesar Chavez (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 209 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.39% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453001000 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001000 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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