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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Garrison Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453002410 · Travis, TX · pop 3,816 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 48453002410 covers part of the Garrison Park area of Austin, TX, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,816 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 24% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,865
Renter share66.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$58,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Garrison Park
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 290 tracts In Travis
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2058, -97.7867 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garrison Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,472 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Garrison Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garrison Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0024104.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 660Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2007)
  • 53Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453002410
Filings climbed 51% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garrison Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garrison Park

Against Travis County at 44.8%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 660 filings here across 12 tracked years. At $1,472 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Austin commands.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 8.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453002410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002410?

Census tract 48453002410 in the Garrison Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453002410?

Median gross rent is $1,472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002410?

16.3% of residents in tract 48453002410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,816.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 27th, minority 75th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48453002410 considered part of Garrison Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002410 fall within Garrison Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453002410?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 660 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453002410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.76% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453002410 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453002410 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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