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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Rainey Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453001103 · Travis, TX · pop 3,522 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Moderate-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 48453001103 reflects conditions in the Rainey Street Historic District area of Austin, Texas. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,835 monthly, set against $161,735 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 37% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,614
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$161,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rainey Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#193 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#202 of 290 tracts In Travis
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#5,298 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2591, -97.7399 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rainey Street Historic District scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,835 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Rainey Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rainey Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 001103Austin: 2.92.9Austinparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rainey Street Historic District

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Travis County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 19% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001103?

Census tract 48453001103 in the Rainey Street Historic District neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001103?

Median gross rent is $2,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001103?

8.0% of residents in tract 48453001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 1th, minority 49th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001103 considered part of Rainey Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001103 fall within Rainey Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453001103 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001103 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48453001103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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