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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Rainey Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453001103 · Travis, TX · pop 3,522 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48453001103 in the Rainey Street Historic District area of Austin, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Against Travis County at 44.8%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 37% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,614
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$161,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rainey Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#229 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#200 of 290 tracts In Travis
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2591, -97.7399 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rainey Street Historic District scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,835 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Rainey Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rainey Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0011034.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rainey Street Historic District

Average gross rent is $2,835, 64% above the Austin average. The voucher gap is 45.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.5/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.3% against 31.5% nationally.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $161,735.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001103?

Census tract 48453001103 in the Rainey Street Historic District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001103?

Median gross rent is $2,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001103?

8.0% of residents in tract 48453001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 1th, minority 49th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001103 considered part of Rainey Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001103 fall within Rainey Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453001103 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48453001103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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