Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
The Waters at Bluff Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48453002441 ·
Travis, TX · pop 5,581 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 48453002441 sits in the The Waters at Bluff Springs area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 5,581 residents. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 27%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,157
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$71,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In The Waters at Bluff Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
61th percentile
#95 of 239 tracts In Austin
Elevated
Within county
64th percentile
#106 of 290 tracts In Travis
Elevated
Within state
69th percentile
#2,131 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.1820, -97.7680 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Waters at Bluff Springs scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How The Waters at Bluff Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
73%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Waters at Bluff Springs
Adults with no health insurance runs 28.1% against 11.3% nationally. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Travis County average of 44.8%.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Travis County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,660, close to the Austin average.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $71,729. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453002441
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002441?
Census tract 48453002441 in the The Waters at Bluff Springs neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48453002441?
Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002441?
8.4% of residents in tract 48453002441 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,581.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002441?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 84th, minority 82th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 48453002441 considered part of The Waters at Bluff Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002441 fall within The Waters at Bluff Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48453002441 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453002441 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.