Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Jack's Pond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48491020513 ·
Williamson, TX · pop 3,488 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 48491020513 sits in the Jack's Pond area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 3,488 residents. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%Stable renters 56%Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,556
Renter share96.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$75,030
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Jack's Pond
Moderate
Within parent city
69th percentile
#75 of 239 tracts In Austin
Elevated
Within county
81th percentile
#27 of 135 tracts In Williamson
High
Within state
77th percentile
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.4686, -97.6986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jack's Pond scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,574 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How Jack's Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
72%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jack's Pond
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Williamson County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
At $1,574 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Austin commands. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $75,030.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491020513
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020513?
Census tract 48491020513 in the Jack's Pond neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491020513?
Median gross rent is $1,574/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020513?
5.5% of residents in tract 48491020513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,488.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020513?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 74th, minority 86th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 48491020513 considered part of Jack's Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020513 fall within Jack's Pond (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491020513 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48491020513 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.