Shady Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Murray

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. The voucher gap is 24.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.