Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bexley West Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockwood
Tract 51041100208 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 2,363 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
51041100208 is a census tract in the Bexley West area of Rockwood, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate0.6%
Median income$123,409
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4598, -77.5681 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bexley West scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,144 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8
How Bexley West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2010)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bexley West
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
The voucher gap is 25.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Average gross rent is $2,144, 23% above the Rockwood average. It sits 1.2 points below the Chesterfield County average of 4.2.
SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 filings here across 7 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 20.0% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100208?
Census tract 51041100208 in the Bexley West neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100208?
Median gross rent is $2,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100208?
0.6% of residents in tract 51041100208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,363.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 30th, minority 38th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100208 considered part of Bexley West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100208 fall within Bexley West (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.80% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100208 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100208 compare to Rockwood overall?
Tract 51041100208 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood
Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related