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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Bexley West Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockwood

Tract 51041100208 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 2,363 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 51041100208 reflects conditions in Bexley West in Rockwood, Virginia. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 16% of renter households, a modest level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,144 monthly, set against $123,409 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate0.6%
Median income$123,409

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bexley West
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Rockwood
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,847 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockwood and the region

Centroid at 37.4598, -77.5681 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bexley West scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,144 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8

How Bexley West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bexley West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 100208Rockwood: 3.33.3Rockwoodparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 63Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak (2010)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411002082010: 14 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (8.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bexley West

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.0% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100208?

Census tract 51041100208 in the Bexley West neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100208?

Median gross rent is $2,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100208?

0.6% of residents in tract 51041100208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,363.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 30th, minority 38th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100208 considered part of Bexley West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100208 fall within Bexley West (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100208?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.80% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100208 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100208 compare to Rockwood overall?

Tract 51041100208 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood

Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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