Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Drewrys Bluff Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bellwood
Tract 51041100406 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 1,565 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51041100406 covers part of the Drewrys Bluff area of Bellwood, VA, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,565 residents. Cost burden runs 81% here against 42.3% across Chesterfield County.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units791
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$38,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4198, -77.4455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drewrys Bluff scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellwood
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,032 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellwood
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellwood
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellwood
8.3
How Drewrys Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,040Total filings over 7 yrs
- 35.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 50.8%Peak (2013)
- 90Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Drewrys Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.2%Food insecurity
- 34.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 18.4%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 44.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drewrys Bluff
Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.9 points above the Chesterfield County average of 4.2.
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 35.2% against 17.8% nationally. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,040 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 50.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 35.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100406?
Census tract 51041100406 in the Drewrys Bluff neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100406?
Median gross rent is $1,032/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100406?
28.2% of residents in tract 51041100406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,565.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 100th, minority 77th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100406 considered part of Drewrys Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100406 fall within Drewrys Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,040 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.47% of renter households, peaking at 50.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100406 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100406 compare to Bellwood overall?
Tract 51041100406 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bellwood at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellwood
Top eight tracts in Bellwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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