Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Drewrys Bluff Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellwood
Tract 51041100806 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,667 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51041100806 in the Drewrys Bluff area of Meadowbrook, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,667 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,296
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$64,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4336, -77.4639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drewrys Bluff scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellwood
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellwood
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellwood
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellwood
6.4
How Drewrys Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,864Total filings over 7 yrs
- 41.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 65.0%Peak (2012)
- 202Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Drewrys Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.3%Housing insecurity
- 18.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.3%Food insecurity
- 32.2%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 23.8%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drewrys Bluff
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Adults with no health insurance runs 23.8% against 11.3% nationally. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,261 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Meadowbrook commands.
It sits 1.2 points above the Chesterfield County average of 4.2. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The filing record is not thin: 1,864 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 65.0% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100806?
Census tract 51041100806 in the Drewrys Bluff neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100806?
Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100806?
26.6% of residents in tract 51041100806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,667.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 91th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100806 considered part of Drewrys Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100806 fall within Drewrys Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100806?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,864 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.35% of renter households, peaking at 65.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100806 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100806 compare to Bellwood overall?
Tract 51041100806 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bellwood at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellwood
Top eight tracts in Bellwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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