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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Drewrys Bluff Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellwood

Tract 51041100806 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,667 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Drewrys Bluff area of Bellwood for landlords? Census tract 51041100806 scores 6.9/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,261 a month against an average household income of $64,350 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 30% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,296
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$64,350

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Drewrys Bluff
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Bellwood
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellwood and the region

Centroid at 37.4336, -77.4639 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drewrys Bluff scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellwood
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellwood
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellwood
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellwood
6.4

How Drewrys Bluff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drewrys Bluff risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 100806Bellwood: 4.04.0Bellwoodparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,864Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 41.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.0%Peak (2012)
  • 202Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411008062010: 253 filings (34.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 338 filings (54.52/100 renter HHs)2012: 403 filings (65.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 197 filings (31.77/100 renter HHs)2014: 216 filings (34.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 255 filings (41.13/100 renter HHs)2016: 202 filings (27.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Drewrys Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drewrys Bluff

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100806?

Census tract 51041100806 in the Drewrys Bluff neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100806?

Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100806?

26.6% of residents in tract 51041100806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,667.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 91th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100806 considered part of Drewrys Bluff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100806 fall within Drewrys Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100806?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,864 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.35% of renter households, peaking at 65.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100806 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100806 compare to Bellwood overall?

Tract 51041100806 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bellwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellwood

Top eight tracts in Bellwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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