Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Qualla Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockwood
Tract 51041100812 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,678 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51041100812 covers part of the Qualla Forest area of Rockwood, VA, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,678 residents. Cost burden runs 15% here against 42.3% across Chesterfield County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,106
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$103,277
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4258, -77.5746 · click any tract to drill in
Why Qualla Forest scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,344 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8
How Qualla Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 177Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.0%Peak (2010)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Qualla Forest
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. The voucher gap is 37.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,344 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Rockwood commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Chesterfield County average of 4.2.
Court records carry 177 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 21.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100812
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100812?
Census tract 51041100812 in the Qualla Forest neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100812?
Median gross rent is $2,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100812?
2.2% of residents in tract 51041100812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100812?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 45th, minority 52th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100812 considered part of Qualla Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100812 fall within Qualla Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100812?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 177 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100812 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.47% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100812 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100812 compare to Rockwood overall?
Tract 51041100812 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood
Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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