Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Sandy Brook Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandermill
Tract 51041100937 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up Sandy Brook in Brandermill, census tract 51041100937 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #31,113 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,658 a month while the average household earns $108,722 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$108,722
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandermill and the region
Centroid at 37.4521, -77.6603 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sandy Brook scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandermill
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandermill
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandermill
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandermill
4.6
How Sandy Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sandy Brook
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandermill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100937
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100937?
Census tract 51041100937 in the Sandy Brook neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100937?
Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100937?
10.8% of residents in tract 51041100937 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100937?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 14th, minority 42th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100937 considered part of Sandy Brook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100937 fall within Sandy Brook (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51041100937 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51041100937 compare to Brandermill overall?
Tract 51041100937 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Brandermill at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandermill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandermill
Top eight tracts in Brandermill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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