Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Sandy Brook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandermill
Tract 51041100937 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 51041100937 sits in the Sandy Brook area of Brandermill, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. Population here is 3,945. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$108,722
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandermill and the region
Centroid at 37.4521, -77.6603 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sandy Brook scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandermill
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandermill
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandermill
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandermill
4.6
How Sandy Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sandy Brook
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 42.3% across Chesterfield County. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Chesterfield County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,658, close to the Brandermill average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100937
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100937?
Census tract 51041100937 in the Sandy Brook neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100937?
Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100937?
10.8% of residents in tract 51041100937 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100937?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 14th, minority 42th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100937 considered part of Sandy Brook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100937 fall within Sandy Brook (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51041100937 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51041100937 compare to Brandermill overall?
Tract 51041100937 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Brandermill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandermill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandermill
Top eight tracts in Brandermill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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