Cameron Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandermill
Tract 51041101012 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,446 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51041101012 is a census tract in the Cameron Bay area of Brandermill, VA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Brandermill and the region
Centroid at 37.4097, -77.6339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cameron Bay scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cameron Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 758Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2013)
- 67Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cameron Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cameron Bay
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 758 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 14.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,717, close to the Brandermill average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $90,341. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51041101012
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041101012?
What is the average rent in tract 51041101012?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041101012?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041101012?
Is tract 51041101012 considered part of Cameron Bay?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041101012?
What share of households in tract 51041101012 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51041101012 compare to Brandermill overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Brandermill
Top eight tracts in Brandermill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.