Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
North Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hybla Valley
Tract 51059415401 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,229 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51059415401 sits in the North Hill area of Hybla Valley, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Population here is 6,229. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,874
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$71,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hybla Valley and the region
Centroid at 38.7570, -77.0780 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Hill scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hybla Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,878 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hybla Valley
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hybla Valley
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hybla Valley
7.1
How North Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,925Total filings over 4 yrs
- 31.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.9%Peak (2016)
- 514Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.8%Food insecurity
- 25.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Hill
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 25.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.8/10.
Court records carry 1,925 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,878, 15% above the Hybla Valley average.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 35.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 31.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059415401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415401?
Census tract 51059415401 in the North Hill neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059415401?
Median gross rent is $1,878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415401?
17.6% of residents in tract 51059415401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,229.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 71th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51059415401 considered part of North Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415401 fall within North Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,925 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059415401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.36% of renter households, peaking at 35.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059415401 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059415401 compare to Hybla Valley overall?
Tract 51059415401 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Hybla Valley at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hybla Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hybla Valley
Top eight tracts in Hybla Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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