Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
North Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hybla Valley
Tract 51059421500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,544 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51059421500 covers part of the North Hill area of Hybla Valley, VA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,544. It sits 3.0 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,385
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$67,761
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hybla Valley and the region
Centroid at 38.7507, -77.0875 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Hill scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hybla Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,562 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hybla Valley
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hybla Valley
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hybla Valley
7.1
How North Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 565Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.8%Peak (2012)
- 92Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 24.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 21.5%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Hill
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 565 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 15.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421500?
Census tract 51059421500 in the North Hill neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421500?
Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421500?
13.2% of residents in tract 51059421500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,544.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 83th, minority 89th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421500 considered part of North Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421500 fall within North Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.52% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421500 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421500 compare to Hybla Valley overall?
Tract 51059421500 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Hybla Valley at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hybla Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hybla Valley
Top eight tracts in Hybla Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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