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Neighborhood · Hybla Valley, VA

North Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 13,773 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

North Hill is a 2-tract neighborhood of Hybla Valley, VA, population 13,773. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Hybla Valley baseline of 29.0%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Court records carry 2,490 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

14.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 25.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 35.9% of renter households. Judgments average 4.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,705, close to the Hybla Valley average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
North Hill vs Hybla Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +77%
Hybla Valley: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$1,705 +5%
Hybla Valley: $1,631
Average HH income
$69,252 -4%
Hybla Valley: $72,068
Poverty rate
15.2% -3%
Hybla Valley: 15.6%
Renter share
65.2% +20%
Hybla Valley: 54.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why North Hill scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
15.2% below poverty line · Range 3.3–4.4 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–3.1 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

North Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3North HillNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in North Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059421500 7.3 7,544 42% $1,562
51059415401 7.3 6,229 62% $1,878
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North Hill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,490Total filings (sum)
  • 21.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 20.99%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Hill?

North Hill scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Hill compare to Hybla Valley overall?

North Hill scores 1.4 points higher than Hybla Valley overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,705 vs $1,631.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Hill?

Average gross rent in North Hill is $1,705/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Hill residents are renters?

65% of North Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Hybla Valley). The neighborhood has 13,773 residents.
Q5

Is North Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

North Hill sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Hill is census tract 51059421500 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 7.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is North Hill for landlords?

North Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hybla Valley as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Hill?

North Hill has 14,013 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Hill

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